The following provides a detailed analysis of every Super Bowl spread and total (if available) since the inaugural Super Bowl in 1967 through 2023. The score and winner of each game, including the ATS (against the spread) winner and over/under result, have been listed.
At a basic level, there are no significant outlying trends. Removing two pushes and one pick’em game from the total, favorites have won 28 out of 54 Super Bowls against the spread, equating to a 51.9% success rate. It is worth noting that favorites have performed even better, winning 37 out of the 55 Super Bowl matchups to date (67.3%).
In terms of the over/under, the results are split almost exactly down the middle. Of the 56 Super Bowls with over/under data, 28 games have gone over the total, while 28 have stayed under. It is worth mentioning that the first Super Bowl had no over/under odds posted, but with 45 points scored, one would assume it would have gone over.
This perfect split between the over and under results in the Super Bowl is not surprising, as it is consistent with the trend seen in regular season NFL games throughout history.